Stab Magazine | Storm the size of Oz projected to hit Indo!

EAST with Harry Bryant coming August 18...

749 Views

Storm the size of Oz projected to hit Indo!

Words by Morgan Williamson  Right now, a storm 2.5 million square miles is fermenting in the Indian Ocean. Yes, million. Seven digits of raw power. That’s nearly the size of Australia (2.9 million square miles). According to Magic Seaweed, the swell will top out at around 50 feet, with peak wind speeds at 60mph and a 28-second period. So much in surfing rides on anticipation! It drags us into swell charts, angles, projections, wind patterns. And what the buoys and numbers are projecting right now, is a storm projected to slam into Indonesia this weekend like a C-4 stuffed freighter into a brick wall at 90 mph. Swell chart showing 50 feet-plus waves in the Indian Ocean. Image: Magic Seaweed It will not be the biggest swell of the year, or the season for that matter. But, the combination of swell size, peak period and peak energy exceeds any swell event recorded in recent decades. It’ll spread over 40 degrees, providing solid surf to Indo’s south and west facing breaks. It won’t hit like a shotgun, but rather more like a machine gun, pressed against Indo’s coast in a direct flurry. And the spray won’t stop there. It’ll be detectable in two-thirds of the world’s ocean surface at some point. West Oz will be receiving a sharp kick as well. So, if you’ve got the time and the means, flex the Amex and get out of town. You couldn’t find a more fitting swell for Indo. Starting in the South Atlantic, waves created in the Indian Ocean are forecast to be felt in Alaska. Image: Magic Seaweed And the best news of all? Swells like this will perhaps be a sign of things to come. “My short tenure as an ‘amateur forecaster’ only extends 10 years back, and Mother Nature’s cycles happen on a much grander scale,” Greg Long told Stab late last year. “But I’ll be damned if she hasn’t been producing ‘the swell of the year’ on what feels like a weekly basis the past 18 months. Record-setting super-storms have been occurring with more frequency than I can remember.” And that’s true and has been for about a year now. Think back to that Puerto swell early March, Cyclone Marcia late February and the countless Jaws sessions last winter. Reminisce on the string of Hurricanes (Marie included) that slammed Mexico and California last summer; reducing Cabo San Lucas to rubble. South Africa’s been on absolute fire too, and, the list goes on. This storm is no exception. This is what 19 seconds of South West fury looked like in Nusa Lembongan last year. Everyone best be ready this year. Photo: Aaron Hawke So, here our palates experience their first breaths of the golden years to come. Professor Ian Goodwin is a Marine Climatologist, Coastal Oceanographer and a Marine Geologist. Late last year he told Stab that he’d reconstructed the last 1000 years of wind and wave fields as part of his research at Sydney’s Macquarie University. “I talk to a lot of guys my age (57) and everyone harks back: ‘why is the surf so crap in recent years compared to the way it was in the 60s and 70s?’ Well, when we look at the decadal climate pattern, we’re actually back into the pattern of the 1960s. It should be a pretty magical 15-year window, and it could run as long as 30 years.” And we want to listen, after all he’s a professor and it all sounds so lovely, don’t it? History does have a way of repeating itself but nothing’s for certain. Not even science, so bury this into the back of your skull. Now that it’s brimming with information, try to manage to keep your expectations low. That way when the amazing happens, it’s that much more. Conditions in the Ments will be straight fire. Dean Morrison, Bank Vaults. Photo: John Barton

news // Mar 8, 2016
Words by stab
Reading Time: 3 minutes

Words by Morgan Williamson 

Right now, a storm 2.5 million square miles is fermenting in the Indian Ocean. Yes, million. Seven digits of raw power. That’s nearly the size of Australia (2.9 million square miles). According to Magic Seaweed, the swell will top out at around 50 feet, with peak wind speeds at 60mph and a 28-second period. So much in surfing rides on anticipation! It drags us into swell charts, angles, projections, wind patterns. And what the buoys and numbers are projecting right now, is a storm projected to slam into Indonesia this weekend like a C-4 stuffed freighter into a brick wall at 90 mph.

blob

Swell chart showing 50 feet-plus waves in the Indian Ocean. Image: Magic Seaweed

It will not be the biggest swell of the year, or the season for that matter. But, the combination of swell size, peak period and peak energy exceeds any swell event recorded in recent decades. It’ll spread over 40 degrees, providing solid surf to Indo’s south and west facing breaks. It won’t hit like a shotgun, but rather more like a machine gun, pressed against Indo’s coast in a direct flurry. And the spray won’t stop there. It’ll be detectable in two-thirds of the world’s ocean surface at some point. West Oz will be receiving a sharp kick as well. So, if you’ve got the time and the means, flex the Amex and get out of town. You couldn’t find a more fitting swell for Indo.

swell11000miles

Starting in the South Atlantic, waves created in the Indian Ocean are forecast to be felt in Alaska. Image: Magic Seaweed

And the best news of all? Swells like this will perhaps be a sign of things to come. “My short tenure as an ‘amateur forecaster’ only extends 10 years back, and Mother Nature’s cycles happen on a much grander scale,” Greg Long told Stab late last year. “But I’ll be damned if she hasn’t been producing ‘the swell of the year’ on what feels like a weekly basis the past 18 months. Record-setting super-storms have been occurring with more frequency than I can remember.” And that’s true and has been for about a year now. Think back to that Puerto swell early March, Cyclone Marcia late February and the countless Jaws sessions last winter. Reminisce on the string of Hurricanes (Marie included) that slammed Mexico and California last summer; reducing Cabo San Lucas to rubble. South Africa’s been on absolute fire too, and, the list goes on. This storm is no exception.

Nineteen seconds of South West fury hits Nusa Lembongan. Photo: Aaron Hawke

This is what 19 seconds of South West fury looked like in Nusa Lembongan last year. Everyone best be ready this year. Photo: Aaron Hawke

So, here our palates experience their first breaths of the golden years to come. Professor Ian Goodwin is a Marine Climatologist, Coastal Oceanographer and a Marine Geologist. Late last year he told Stab that he’d reconstructed the last 1000 years of wind and wave fields as part of his research at Sydney’s Macquarie University. “I talk to a lot of guys my age (57) and everyone harks back: ‘why is the surf so crap in recent years compared to the way it was in the 60s and 70s?’ Well, when we look at the decadal climate pattern, we’re actually back into the pattern of the 1960s. It should be a pretty magical 15-year window, and it could run as long as 30 years.” And we want to listen, after all he’s a professor and it all sounds so lovely, don’t it? History does have a way of repeating itself but nothing’s for certain. Not even science, so bury this into the back of your skull. Now that it’s brimming with information, try to manage to keep your expectations low. That way when the amazing happens, it’s that much more.

Dean Morrison, Bank Vaults. Photo: John Barton

Conditions in the Ments will be straight fire. Dean Morrison, Bank Vaults. Photo: John Barton

Comments

Comments are a Stab Premium feature. Gotta join to talk shop.

Already a member? Sign In

Want to join? Sign Up

Advertisement

Most Recent

Kelly’s Quinquagenarian Dominance, Eli’s Gumption, And Eimeo’s Upset

Three takeaways from six heats on Day 1 at the Outerknown Tahiti Pro.

Aug 9, 2026

Hossegor Beach Cocaine Episode 1: Y2K To Infinity

A new Stab Premium podcast series.

Aug 7, 2026

Take Stab’s 2027 Audience Survey, (Maybe) Win A Trip To Kandui

...and two custom surfboards.

Aug 6, 2026

Biblical Swell To Greet The Youngest, Oldest, And Most Unhinged Wildcards In Teahupo’o History

A Tahiti Pro preview.

Aug 6, 2026

SEOTY: Michael Dunphy and His Fantastic Flying Machine Star in ‘Stream East’

To the Caribbean and beyond.

Aug 5, 2026

Can A Stab Writer Make One Heat In A QS2000?

We're about to find out.

Aug 5, 2026

Investigation: The $24 Million Plan To Kill Shark’s Cove

Eight local businesses sit in the crosshairs of the North Shore's Karen-Elite.

Aug 3, 2026

Remembering Arran Strong

Friends, family, and the surfing world remember a waterman who truly lived every day like…

Aug 3, 2026

CT Surfers Ate 80% Of The US Open’s Semifinal Points

Jake Marshall and Sierra Kerr won Huntington. The men’s result also reopened the Challenger Series’…

Aug 3, 2026

Jamie O’Brien Doesn’t Believe Pro Surfers Are Core | StabMic Ep. 25

"When people forget your value, it's time to forget about them."

Aug 3, 2026

Tosh Tudor on Foamball Spirituality, Giving Up Weed, And Learnings From His Father

Veteran surf journo Matt George caught up with Tosh in between Indonesian sessions.

Aug 1, 2026

Watch: Ryan Callinan in ‘Interim’ 

What has your favorite surfer’s favorite goofyfoot been up to?

Jul 31, 2026

Can Karma Decide Who Wins A Surf Contest?

If last year's Rip Curl Padang Cup is anything to go by, don't rule it…

Jul 30, 2026

Surf100 Changed My Mind About Zeke Lau

How does our production team really feel about the 6'2 Hawaiian?

Jul 29, 2026

Why CT Surfers Threatened To Boycott The ISA World Games

And how it will affect the level of surfing in the 2028 Olympics.

Jul 29, 2026

What’s Coming To Stab Premium 

The hard drive-release pipeline for the next five months.

Jul 28, 2026

2026 Surf100 Challenge Series Presented By Pacifico, Episode 05

As cold and as perfect as waves in the US get.

Jul 27, 2026

From The Championship Tour To Louis Vuitton | Mikey February | StabMic Ep. 24

Did LV rip off Vans?

Jul 27, 2026
Advertisement