If You Let An Octopus Choose Your World Cup Picks, You Should Definitely Listen To Reef Mcintosh - Stab Mag

If You Let An Octopus Choose Your World Cup Picks, You Should Definitely Listen To Reef Mcintosh

The Banzai warlord has a far better success rate.

elsewhere // Jan 25, 2023
Words by Ethan Davis
Reading Time: < 1 minutes

Paul the Octopus was a common octopus from Germany who predicted the results of the Fifa World Cup in 2010 with an astonishing success rate of 85.7%. 12/14 times Paul chose the winning team (he did this by choosing from two food boxes decorated with both team’s flags, whichever Paul ate from first was considered his winning prediction) gaining international fame as a punt oracle.

But Paul ain’t got shit on Banzai warlord Reef McIntosh, who has a 100% success rate of picking Vans Pipe Masters (VPM). 

Last month, Stab commissioned the help of Reef McIntosh to share his picks for the VPM. Balaram Stack was probably not first, second or third on most people’s list of picks for winners, which makes it all the more impressive when you consider all the CT heavyweights & Pipe specialists in the draw. Furthermore, Bal was one of 40 potential winners, which means there was only a 2.5% chance of getting it right by chance (Paul had 50/50). 

In other words: Reef > Cephalopods.

Here’s who the esteemed big-wave surfer is picking for the Billabong Pipe Pro (waiting period starts Jan 29). Btw, don’t miss John John & Gabriel Medina’s first exchange in Round 1 Heat 12.

Place your bets at Betonline.ag


  1. Jack Robinson
  2. Gabriel Medina
  3. John Florence

Dark horse – Seth Moniz


  1. Moana Jones Wong
  2. Tyler Wright
  3. Carissa Moore

Dark horse – Courtney Conlogue


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