If You Let An Octopus Choose Your World Cup Picks, You Should Definitely Listen To Reef Mcintosh - Stab Mag
294 Views

If You Let An Octopus Choose Your World Cup Picks, You Should Definitely Listen To Reef Mcintosh

The Banzai warlord has a far better success rate.

elsewhere // Jan 25, 2023
Words by Ethan Davis
Reading Time: < 1 minute

Paul the Octopus was a common octopus from Germany who predicted the results of the Fifa World Cup in 2010 with an astonishing success rate of 85.7%. 12/14 times Paul chose the winning team (he did this by choosing from two food boxes decorated with both team’s flags, whichever Paul ate from first was considered his winning prediction) gaining international fame as a punt oracle.

But Paul ain’t got shit on Banzai warlord Reef McIntosh, who has a 100% success rate of picking Vans Pipe Masters (VPM). 

Last month, Stab commissioned the help of Reef McIntosh to share his picks for the VPM. Balaram Stack was probably not first, second or third on most people’s list of picks for winners, which makes it all the more impressive when you consider all the CT heavyweights & Pipe specialists in the draw. Furthermore, Bal was one of 40 potential winners, which means there was only a 2.5% chance of getting it right by chance (Paul had 50/50). 

In other words: Reef > Cephalopods.

Here’s who the esteemed big-wave surfer is picking for the Billabong Pipe Pro (waiting period starts Jan 29). Btw, don’t miss John John & Gabriel Medina’s first exchange in Round 1 Heat 12.

Place your bets at Betonline.ag

Mens

  1. Jack Robinson
  2. Gabriel Medina
  3. John Florence

Dark horse – Seth Moniz

Womens

  1. Moana Jones Wong
  2. Tyler Wright
  3. Carissa Moore

Dark horse – Courtney Conlogue

Comments

Comments are a Stab Premium feature. Gotta join to talk shop.

Already a member? Sign In

Want to join? Sign Up

Advertisement

Most Recent

Hemp In The Athlete Zone, Pipe Master On Hypto Kryptos, Freesurfers Monetize Loneliness

This is the new order of operations — a Q1 industry report.

Feb 20, 2026

“It Was Like the Fourth of July. The Kitchen Sink’s Shattering. The Curtains Are On Fire. I Was Just Swimming Though Black Smoke.”

Kolohe Andino recalls the Gold Coast apartment fire that almost took everything.

Feb 20, 2026

Watch: Dane Reynolds Quizzes The Reigning World Champ | StabMic Episode 02

Yago Dora on his title year, the Volcom x Dad split, EAST over SITD, CT…

Feb 19, 2026

What I Learned Shooting Stab in the Dark with Kelly Slater

These innocuous observations from 11 days working with the greatest surfer of all time. 

Feb 18, 2026

Why Aren’t There More European Freesurfers?

Charly Quivront's new film, 'Who Is Charly?,' helps explain it.

Feb 18, 2026

Ferrari Boyz: Mikey Wright’s Apocalypse-Proof Ram 3500 Mega Cab

A daily driver with a 9-ton towing capacity.

Feb 17, 2026

Kurt Van Dyke, Renowned Californian Surfer, Brutally Murdered in Costa Rica

The 66-year-old was discovered under his bed with multiple stab wounds and a knife nearby.

Feb 17, 2026

Rebuttal: Never Stop Watching Surf Movies 

Social media makes us anxious and depressed. Surf content does not.

Feb 16, 2026

How Italo Ferreira Bought His Way Into Nike, The Reality Of Fatherhood, And Embracing Global Scrutiny

The Stab Interview with the most sleep-deprived man in surfing.

Feb 13, 2026

Will A GOAT Bite On Gnaraloo’s $17 Million Price Tag?

World Champs and Hollywood circle a red-dirt kingdom that can never truly be owned.

Feb 13, 2026

Dane Reynolds On His Favorite Surfer, Storytelling Through Surf Media, And Releasing Former’s New Film

Our first official episode of StabMic is live. 

Feb 12, 2026

Watch: Episode 03 of Stab In The Dark X Starring Kelly Slater

The untold story behind the GOAT’s split from CI + a three-layer wax cake theory.

Feb 11, 2026

Why You Should Stop Watching Surf Videos*

Instagram reels and the twisted fantasy of the parasocial surfing life.

Feb 9, 2026

Breaking: Rogue Boat Plows Through Steamer Lane, Capsizes With Family Of Six Onboard

Stab writer Holden Trnka saves a kid, gives a first hand report.

Feb 8, 2026

Watch: How $13M And 70,000 Tons Of Granite Changed An Australian Surf Town Forever

A documentary on Midds Reef — the world's best artificial wave — by Rhys Jones.

Feb 7, 2026

Pipeline Was Really, Really Good Today

CT qualifications, countless nine point rides, Australian domination, and the journey of a local hero.

Feb 6, 2026

Why Chapter 11’s Doors Are Shut + Why Former’s Output Is About To Spike

Former drops teaser for upcoming feature, ‘Defect’, starring the entire frozen pea army.

Feb 5, 2026

Joyride: What’s In An Asymmetrical Surfboard?

An asymmetrical study of Lovelace's Zambal and Satellite models.

Feb 5, 2026
Advertisement