If You Let An Octopus Choose Your World Cup Picks, You Should Definitely Listen To Reef Mcintosh - Stab Mag
330 Views

If You Let An Octopus Choose Your World Cup Picks, You Should Definitely Listen To Reef Mcintosh

The Banzai warlord has a far better success rate.

elsewhere // Jan 25, 2023
Words by Ethan Davis
Reading Time: < 1 minute

Paul the Octopus was a common octopus from Germany who predicted the results of the Fifa World Cup in 2010 with an astonishing success rate of 85.7%. 12/14 times Paul chose the winning team (he did this by choosing from two food boxes decorated with both team’s flags, whichever Paul ate from first was considered his winning prediction) gaining international fame as a punt oracle.

But Paul ain’t got shit on Banzai warlord Reef McIntosh, who has a 100% success rate of picking Vans Pipe Masters (VPM). 

Last month, Stab commissioned the help of Reef McIntosh to share his picks for the VPM. Balaram Stack was probably not first, second or third on most people’s list of picks for winners, which makes it all the more impressive when you consider all the CT heavyweights & Pipe specialists in the draw. Furthermore, Bal was one of 40 potential winners, which means there was only a 2.5% chance of getting it right by chance (Paul had 50/50). 

In other words: Reef > Cephalopods.

Here’s who the esteemed big-wave surfer is picking for the Billabong Pipe Pro (waiting period starts Jan 29). Btw, don’t miss John John & Gabriel Medina’s first exchange in Round 1 Heat 12.

Place your bets at Betonline.ag

Mens

  1. Jack Robinson
  2. Gabriel Medina
  3. John Florence

Dark horse – Seth Moniz

Womens

  1. Moana Jones Wong
  2. Tyler Wright
  3. Carissa Moore

Dark horse – Courtney Conlogue

Comments

Comments are a Stab Premium feature. Gotta join to talk shop.

Already a member? Sign In

Want to join? Sign Up

Advertisement

Most Recent

Does Cloudbreak Have A Box Jellyfish Problem?

“I'm lying in the boat convulsing going, ‘Fuck Dad, am I going to die?’” recalled…

Apr 20, 2026

The Hierarchy Holds Firm

Usual suspects progress in victory-at-sea conditions at Margs.

Apr 19, 2026

The Sport Of Short (And Muscular) Kings?

Is there an ideal body type for surfing? 

Apr 19, 2026

Is Surfing For The Rich? | StabMic Episode 10

Nate Fletcher & Dane Reynolds discuss the state of modern surfing.

Apr 17, 2026

Surfing’s Obsession With Proof

A photographer's musings on the enduring impact of surf imagery and our connection to it.

Apr 16, 2026

The Longest Day In WSL History Almost Ends In A Brawl

Twenty-eight heats and a non-interference call that spills out into the carpark.

Apr 16, 2026

Do Second Impressions Ever Last?

A preview of the Margaret River Pro, 2026.

Apr 15, 2026

SEOTY: Josh Burke Stars In ‘Real Estate’

Why we should pay more attention to the Caribbean.

Apr 13, 2026

Gabriela Bryan And Miguel Pupo Ding The ‘Pop

And the reigning world champs get knocked down a peg.

Apr 11, 2026

Have High-Performance Surfboards Already Peaked? | StabMic Episode 09

Britt Merrick + Dane Reynolds on Medina’s CI stint, Slater, Ewing, and the ceiling of…

Apr 10, 2026

A Day In The Life Of A Surf Shop  

One solar day in the strange, sacred, wax-scented world of the surf shop.

Apr 9, 2026

How Do You Score An Impossible Air?

Italo v Gab was the title fight, but the rest of Day 5 delivered as…

Apr 9, 2026

Fourteen Heats, One Questionable Interference, And A Few Steps Closer To Tinnitus

Rip Curl Pro Bells: How is this Day 4 already?

Apr 8, 2026

Watch: Episode 01 of Stab in the Dark starring Ethan Ewing

The reigning champ vs 3x SITD winner vs an Indonesian-based wildcard.

Apr 7, 2026

Stab High x Monster Energy Is Coming To Virginia Beach, USA

Premium members get first access to tickets.

Apr 6, 2026

Griff Goes Futuristic To Beat The New Kid

The greatest wildcard loss in WSL history?

Apr 5, 2026

Watch: The Kelly Files, Vol. 3

"I'll surf until I die."

Apr 5, 2026

Mongrels Prevail In The Slop

A day of upsets, triumphant rookies, and solid showings from just a couple of returning…

Apr 4, 2026
Advertisement